Last year's post (2020) and scoring the predictions. These are goals and projections for my various productivity measures. These are all based on ignoring the tail risk of getting banned (which is now substantial across platforms). The method of doing projections is not difficult: gather some prior data, eyeball the data, project with simple models, apply some adjustment for expected deviations (expect good/bad year to come).
Goals and forecasts for 2021
Goals and forecasts for 2021
Goals and forecasts for 2021
Last year's post (2020) and scoring the predictions. These are goals and projections for my various productivity measures. These are all based on ignoring the tail risk of getting banned (which is now substantial across platforms). The method of doing projections is not difficult: gather some prior data, eyeball the data, project with simple models, apply some adjustment for expected deviations (expect good/bad year to come).