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anon's avatar

> However, it also caused a selection effect as now everybody could succeed in this game.

I'm pretty sure you meant "not" instead of "now".

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gregvp's avatar

Yes, North-western European culture is adapted to late marriage. Although the age of first marriage among females has never risen as sharply nor as high as over the last thirty years.

The main worry, though, is the proportion of women who never have children. That seems to be rising as sharply as the age of first marriage. (As with climate change, it is the rate of change that matters, not, within reason, the particular numbers at any one time.)

The rate of childlessness was almost the same thing as the proportion of never-married women before the development of the welfare state. Not so much any more perhaps, but there are other things driving childlessness now.

Stephen Shaw, in interviews about his research for his documentary "Birth Gap", found that the majority of childlessness was involuntary. It was due to women believing what they have been told since the 1960s, that "there is plenty of time to have children", "the twenties are for having fun; you can settle down later", and "career comes first", and similar masculine life-narratives.

In the current culture, with those narratives and a welfare state, one heritable characteristic likely to correspond with fertility is impulsiveness/poor planning ability.

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