Woodley convinced me that these are of actual interest. As some of you may recall, I compiled a large county level (n≈3000) dataset some time ago, but didn't use it for anything. I just thought it would be a cool dataset, but that results were not too interesting. Well, since someone did think these were important analyses enough to do a study using state level data on, I took a look at the superior dataset. The outcome variables are the fractions of votes for Democrats, Republicans as well as Libertarians and Greens for the 2016 election. Results for Dems and Reps are also available for 2012 and 2008. The 2016 data also has the various smaller candidates (
Some simple models of US county voting outcomes
Some simple models of US county voting…
Some simple models of US county voting outcomes
Woodley convinced me that these are of actual interest. As some of you may recall, I compiled a large county level (n≈3000) dataset some time ago, but didn't use it for anything. I just thought it would be a cool dataset, but that results were not too interesting. Well, since someone did think these were important analyses enough to do a study using state level data on, I took a look at the superior dataset. The outcome variables are the fractions of votes for Democrats, Republicans as well as Libertarians and Greens for the 2016 election. Results for Dems and Reps are also available for 2012 and 2008. The 2016 data also has the various smaller candidates (